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Impact of climate change at species level: a case study of teak in India

Gopalakrishnan, Ranjith and Jayaraman, Mathangi and Swarnim, Shilpa and Chaturvedi, Rajiv K and Bala, Govindasamy and Ravindranath, NH (2011) Impact of climate change at species level: a case study of teak in India. In: Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 16 (2, Sp.). pp. 199-209.

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Abstract

In this study, we model the long-term effect of climate change on commercially important teak (Tectona grandis) and its productivity in India. This modelling assessment is based on climate projections of the regional climate model of the Hadley Center (HadRM3) and the dynamic vegetation model, IBIS. According to the model projections, 30% of teak grids in India are vulnerable to climate change under both A2 and B2 SRES scenarios because the future climate may not be optimal for teak at these grids. However, the net primary productivity and biomass are expected to increase because of elevated levels of CO2. Given these directions of likely impacts, it is crucial to further investigate the climate change impacts on teak and incorporate such findings into long-term teak plantation programs. This study also demonstrates the feasibility and limitations of assessing the impact of projected climate change at the species level in the tropics.

Item Type: Journal Article
Additional Information: Copyright of this article belongs to Springer.
Keywords: Adaptive capacity; Climate change; Impact modelling; Plantation forests; Teak (Tectona grandis); Species-level analysis; India
Department/Centre: Division of Biological Sciences > Centre for Ecological Sciences
Division of Earth and Environmental Sciences > Divecha Centre for Climate Change
Division of Mechanical Sciences > Centre for Sustainable Technologies (formerly ASTRA)
Division of Mechanical Sciences > Centre for Atmospheric & Oceanic Sciences
Date Deposited: 03 Mar 2011 06:40
Last Modified: 03 Mar 2011 06:40
URI: http://eprints.iisc.ernet.in/id/eprint/35802

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