Goswami, BN and Venugopal, V and Sengupta, D and Madhusoodanan, MS and Xavier, Prince K (2006) Increasing Trend of Extreme Rain Events Over India in a Warming Environment. In: Science, 314 (5804). pp. 1442-1445.
Restricted to Registered users only
Download (3383Kb) | Request a copy
Against a backdrop of rising global surface temperature,the stability of the Indian monsoon rainfall over the past century has been a puzzle. By using a daily rainfall data set, we show (i) significant rising trends in the frequency and the magnitude of extreme rain events and (ii) a significant decreasing trend in the frequency of moderate events over central India during the monsoon seasons from 1951 to 2000. The seasonal mean rainfall does not show a significant trend, because the contribution from increasing heavy events is offset by decreasing moderate events. A substantial increase in hazards related to heavy rain is expected over central India in the future.
|Item Type:||Editorials/Short Communications|
|Additional Information:||Copyright of this article belongs to American Association for the Advancement of Science.|
|Department/Centre:||Division of Mechanical Sciences > Centre for Atmospheric & Oceanic Sciences|
|Date Deposited:||25 Aug 2008|
|Last Modified:||19 Sep 2010 04:33|
Actions (login required)